The latest Ohio Poll had some interesting changes from the last. Namely, Kasich's lead has shrunk to 2, 49-47.
Here are the good things about the poll:
•Kasich is ahead by four among those most likely to vote.
•The GOP enthusiasm gap is an astounding 12 points.
•Indepedents, while still a much smaller sample than any other polls, showed a net gain of 7 points towards Kasich. Kasich now leads 46-40.
•Kasich won the issue questions:
◦He's more likely to bring change by 10 points.
◦Will improve the economy by 4 points.
◦Lower the unemployment rate by 5 points.
◦And Strickland is more likely to raise taxes by 28 points(!).
Here are the bad things about the poll:
•Strickland is creeping up closer to 50. He's still below 45 in the RCP average, but any movement up is obviously not welcomed.
•He's getting slightly more partisan support than Kasich.
•Obviously, this sample included more Democrats than the last, meaning more Democrats are getting engaged.
•Questions about honesty and empathy sided with slightly with Strickland, which isn't much of a surprise considering the tone of his campaign.
Eight days to go and the race is tightening up! We have enthusiasm on our side. Let's keep it going.
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1 comments:
I sincerely hope we don't have happen here what happened in Great Britain earlier this year. The conservatives there were prepared to sweep into office and then the election came around and there was no majority. Either the conservative voters felt assured of a clear cut victory and so, didn't bother to vote, or enthusiasm waned. Don't let that happen to us!
KHapner
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